The government of Thailand is looking to establish what would bethe largest excess-of-loss property-catastrophe treaty in theworld—a catastrophe fund equipped to cover losses of up to $16.2billion.

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A briefing from insurance-rating agency A.M. Best Co. says theThai government is attempting to keep flood insurance available andaffordable in the wake of four months of flooding in 2011 that“delivered a shocking and unexpected blow to the global insuranceindustry in the form of an unmodeled event.”

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The catastrophe fund is “expectedto be criticized because of Thailand's small reinsurance premiumbase, but it is a step in the right direction to restore confidencein the Thai market,” A.M. Best says.

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Details of the fund will take some time to negotiate, asreinsurers could be asked to cover it. That could be a lot to askfor, as industry-wide losses from the flooding are now estimated tobe $15 billion, and it will be decades before reinsurers recoverlosses, according to A.M. Best. Many reinsurers are now skittish torenew flood policies in Thailand.

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“Reinsurers will no longer spare Thailand from consideration asa risk for natural catastrophes,” the briefing states.

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The market will undoubtedly change as a result of the disaster,the ratings agency says. Flood coverage was included in manyall-risk policies, and few policies required deductibles. In somecontracts, event limits aren't specified, and policy languagepertaining to Contingent Business Interruption claims will taketime to assess.

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As the industry continues to truly grasp the impact ofthe floods, losses from the event could be seen throughout 2012,evidenced by insurers increasing fourth-quarter reserves for eventsearlier in 2011, A.M. Best predicts.

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