(Bloomberg) — The chances the Atlantic will spit out more hurricanes and tropical storms this year than 2015 just edged up.

The reason is half a world away in the Pacific. The odds are looking better that El Nino will be gone by the time the heart of the season rolls around, starting in late August.

"I would expect a lot more activity than we had last year with the removal of El Nino," said Jeff Masters, co-founder of Weather Underground in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

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