UK-based insurance market, Lloyd's of London, thinks it knowswhich national team is going to win the World Cup soccertournament, and it is basing its guess on each team's insuredvalue. According to the firm's calculations, Germany isthe most-valuable team in the tournament and, as a result, shouldcome away the victor in Rio on July 13.

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Germany?

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Lloyd's does know that Germany has to get past the soccerpowerhouse that is the United States in group play beforeit can even think about the overall title, right?

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Still, for what it's worth, Germany is probably a pretty safebet for the insurer, as the country has long been one of the mostsuccessful national teams at the tournament, winning the Cup threetimes in its history and reaching the final round on four otheroccasions. The team is second only to Italy in number of World Cuptournament appearances with 17 out of the total 19.

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Check out the firm's approach to this conclusion in the chartsbelow. First up, Lloyd's broke down each of the eight groups by theinsurable value of each team:

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Then it broke out the numbers by team, placing Germany in theclear lead ahead of other perennial favorites Spain andEngland:

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