Editor's note: Tim Holt is head of Inform at Alert:24. This blog originally ran on WillisWire.

As I write, hundreds of thousands of spectators and participants will be converging by air, sea, rail and road towards the Black Sea town of Sochi, sitting in the shadow of the now snow-laden Caucasian Mountains and the winter sports resort of Krasnaya Polyana.

They are joined there for the duration of the Winter Olympics and Paralympics by some 80,000 members of the Russian police, army and intelligence services. These forces are playing for even higher stakes than the athletes: ensuring that the games are protected from violence—already explicitly threatened by Islamic extremists—from a number of credible sources.

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