The latest monthly MarketScout report shows that commercialproperty and casualty insurance rates increased at a slower rate,rising 4 percent in October, but Sandy could have a dramatic impacton rates in the future, the CEO of the Dallas-basedelectronic-insurance exchange says.
|MarketScout cites three lines of business—property, businessowners and general liability—as the major cause of the moremoderate increase, as rates in these lines increased by 5 percentinstead of 6 percent last month.
|Making note of Hurricane Sandy, Richard Kerr, CEO ofMarketScout, says, “While the composite rate may have moderated inOctober, we believe Superstorm Sandy will cause a month on monthcomposite rate increase in November. It will take months before weknow the magnitude of insured claims, but as time passes, theprojection for insured losses continues to increase.”
|The report says all lines of business remained on the increaseduring the month of October.
|Medium-sized accounts were up 4 percent in October, down fromup-6 percent a month ago. Small accounts were up 5 percent,compared to up 6 percent in September.
|Large accounts were up 4 percent and jumbo accounts were up by 3percent, both unchanged from September.
|Meyer Shields, an analyst with Stifel Nicolaus, notes that theincreases, while down from September, are in line with the 4percent increases seen in May, June and July.
|Of all lines of business, workers' compensation increased themost at 6 percent in October, unchanged from September.
|“We see insurers' deteriorating calendar-year results as theprimary catalyst for rate increases, and we expect these increasesto accelerate as favorable reserve development subsides andaccident-year results edge worse,” says Shields.
|Turning to personal lines, MarketScout says rates remainedunchanged on a month-to-month basis at up by 3 percent.
|All four lines of business remained unchanged from the previousmonth. Homeowners insurance, under $1 million in value, was up 3percent, while homeowners, over $1 million, remained up 2 percent.Automobile and personal articles were up 3 percent.
|Kerr notes that while rates were stable for the month, therewill be rate impacts from Superstorm Sandy. He says that while theNational Flood Insurance Program will pick-up flood claims,insurers providing excess flood coverage will see losses.
|“And of course there will be wind and fire claims,” says Kerr.“The property and loss-of-use claims are already rolling in. Couplethis with the auto claims, and Sandy may have a notable impact onrates for personal insurance, particularly in theNortheast.”
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