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The good news for insurance companies is that, in general, rate increases may have outpaced loss trends in this year’s third quarter. But the benefits to carriers may be offset by growing reserve pressures and the continued “slow-motion collapse” of investment income, according to new analysis by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.

In its third-quarter earnings preview for the P&C industry (titled “Better Than Feared”), KBW forecasts commercial-lines insurers will report rate increases in the 6-7 percent range, while personal-lines insurers are expected to show increases in the 2-3 percent range. For reinsurers, KBW expects Jan. 1 renewals to be generally flat, including those in catastrophe lines.

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