For a while, Insurance Information Institute President Robert Hartwig has been telling anyone who'll listen that we will not experience a double-dip recession and that global crises would not derail recovery in the economy.

New evidence supports his theory, but insurers may be slow on the uptake, he says.

Insurance-rate renewals are up. Commercial rates rose just under 1 percent in 2011's third quarter and 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter—after 30 straight quarters of price declines.

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