NU Online News Service, May 17, 10:57 a.m.EDT

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April 2011 Tornado EstimatesA third catastrophe riskmodeling firm has weighed in on estimating insured losses from thelate April tornado outbreak, putting a price tag of up to $6billion on the insured damages.

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Newark, Calif.-based Risk Management Solutions (RMS) says itsestimated range of $3.5 billion to $6 billion in insured lossesfrom April 25-28 includes losses from personal, commercial,automobile and industrial lines.

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The high end of RMS’s range represents the highest insured lossprediction of the three risk modelers, but each use a differentdate range to define the outbreak. AIR Worldwide estimated losses of up to $5.5 billion fromApril 22-28. EQECAT said losses could reach $5 billion from April 26-28.

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A large majority—about 70 percent—of the insured losses can beattributed to damages in Alabama, which experienced most of thesevere weather during the April 25-28 tornado outbreak when 305 twisters touched down in the U.S. TheNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says it was thelargest tornado outbreak in history.

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Three EF5 and 11 EF 4 tornadoes have been confirmed during thethree-day outbreak, RMS reports. EF5 is the strongest ranking onthe Enhanced Fujita scale, with winds of more than 200 mph.

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About 40 percent of the estimated insured-loss range from RMScan be linked to a single tornado—an EF4 twister that swept byGreene, Jefferson and Tuscaloosa counties on April 27.

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The historic outbreak from April 25-28 was not the only stormactivity during the month. Earlier in April a violent weathersystem that included hundreds of tornadoes affected multiple statesfrom Oklahoma to North Carolina, and a tornado hit theSt. Louis metro area on April 22.

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As of May 13, State Farm says it has received about 96,000homeowners, renters, condominium and commercial insurance claimsfrom storms April 14-29. The insurer has paid $175 million on theseclaims thus far, but both numbers will grow, “particularly theamount paid,” State Farm relays in an e-mail. An additional 37,000auto claims have been filed, with about $40 million paid out.Similarly, both amounts are expected to grow, State Farm adds.

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Columbus, Ohio-based State Auto Financial Corp. says it expectsthe April storms will cause between $75 million and $85 million insecond quarter catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance recoveries.Five separate catastrophes in April affected 20 of the company'soperating states, it says. More than 15,000 claims will be filed,State Auto estimates.

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Allstate says it expects a $1.4 billion tab from the Aprilstorms. Liberty Mutual says storm activity in April is expectedto cause $350 million to $450 million in losses, and Nationwide says its second-quarter operating income will be“challenged” by claims payouts from April.

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