ORLANDO, FLA.–Job injury frequency has declined more than 30percent over the past decade and economic forces will continue thattrend, an economist with the National Council on CompensationInsurance told an industry conference yesterday.

That forecast came from Harry Shuford, NCCI chief economist, ina talk at the group's annual seminar here outlining what hedescribed as “the mystery of the disappearing frequency–soimportant, so misunderstood.”

Mr. Shuford noted that even as frequency has gone down, theaverage cost per claim has doubled. Over the past quarter century,he said, frequency has declined about 1 percent a year with somecyclical swings.

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