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Last year marked the 10th consecutive year without a major hurricane landfall in the United States. This is a record worth considering from a predictive capacity in light of the upcoming 2016 Atlantic hurricane season.

Recall that last season was characterized by both below-normal landfall and basin activity, which has occurred four times (in 2006, 2009, 2014 and 2015) since the overly productive years of 2004 and 2005. The 2015 season was influenced by a full-blown El Niño — a phenomenon that occurs every two to seven years, during which warm water in the western tropical Pacific extends eastward to South America — and typically contributes to below-normal tropical cyclone frequency in the North Atlantic and above-normal activity across the Pacific. Last year, there was record-breaking high activity across the Eastern and Central Pacific.

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