More than 4 million U.S. residences along the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts are at risk of hurricane-driven storm-surge damage, with more than $700 billion in total property exposure—and the cost is highest along the Atlantic Coast, according to the 2012 CoreLogic Storm Surge Report.
In the Atlantic Coast region alone, there are approximately 2.2 million homes at risk, valued at more than $500 billion. Total exposure along the Gulf Coast is nearly $200 billion, with just under 1.8 million homes at risk for potential storm-surge damage.
“Hurricane Irene made it very clear last summer that hurricane risk is not confined to the southern parts of the country,” said Dr. Howard Botts, vice president and director of database development for CoreLogic Spatial Solutions. “Our 2012 report shows even a Category 1 storm could cause property damage in the billions along the northeastern Atlantic Coast and force major metropolitan areas to shut down or evacuate.”
The study breaks down risk by Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs), defined by the Office of Management and Budget as an urban center and all the adjacent regions tied to that center. The study is based on CoreLogic’s database of parcels–individual property associated with an address–within each category of the storm surge polygon, with values as of April 2012. For the full report, click here.
Follow along as we look at the potential property damage and risk vulnerability for 10 coastal metropolitan areas.
10. Charleston, S.C.
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 79,556
Total structural value: $17,287,678,966
Average value: $217,302
Home to some of the nation’s most historic neighborhoods, Charleston could sustain as much as $8 billion in total property damage even from a Category 1 storm. Residential areas that could be the worst affected include Johns Island and portions of Mount Pleasant and Charleston.
9. Jacksonville, FL
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 127,481
Total structural value: $18,372,979,757
Average value: $144,123
In the event of a Category 5 hurricane, five different areas could sustain property damage of more than $1 billion. The Ponte Vedra Beach area alone could sustain property damages of more than $2.8 billion.
8. Cape Coral, FL
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 172,513
Total structural value: $19,623,515,300
Average value: $113,751
The Cape Coral/Fort Myers metro region hosts the largest population between Miami and Tampa, with more than 172,513 properties at risk. A Category 1 hurricane could cause $9.4 billion in damage and affect 70,000 properties.
7. Houston
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 178,000
Total structural value: $19,784,418,775
Average value: $111,148
A Category 1 storm could cause area residents total property damage of more than $1.9 billion. Residential areas most at risk include League City, Galveston, portions of Houston and La Porte.
6. Boston
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 71,328
Total structural value: $23,279,728,965
Average value: $326,376
More than 71,000 properties in the Boston metro area are susceptible to a Category 4 storm making landfall in the city, with these homes valued at more than $23 billion. Even a Category 1 storm could generate surge that could affect more than 10,000 properties worth more than $2.9 billion.
5. Tampa, FL
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 283,603
Total structural value: $28,887,406,535
Average value: $101,859
A Category 5 hurricane would most likely affect multiple ZIP codes across a large portion of Tampa, along with part of Saint Petersburg. Other affected areas could include Palm Harbor, Port Richey and Tarpon Springs.
4. New Orleans
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 276,930
Total structural value: $38,690,939,229
Average value: $139,714
If levees are topped or fail altogether, as they did during Hurricane Katrina, the water would be trapped and cause significant additional damage. Even with a Category 1 storm, surge alone could inundate more than $26 billion worth of property and affect more than 195,000 homes.
3. Miami
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 229,413
Total structural value: $42,674,254,427
Average value: $186,015
The Miami to Palm Beach area is uniquely situated to be impacted from hurricanes traveling from three different directions. In a Category 5 hurricane, portions of Miami and Jupiter, along with West Palm Beach, would be susceptible to sustaining an estimated $9.1 billion in damage.
2. Virginia Beach, VA
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 290,522
Total structural value: $46,020,134,284
Average value: $158,405
The Hampton Roads CBSA, which includes Virginia Beach, Norfolk and Newport News, is the 36th largest in the country, with a total population of 1.6 million, according to the 2010 U.S. Census. Even a Category 1 storm could cause area resident total property damage of close to $10 billion, impacting more than 59,000 homes.
1. New York, NY
Total properties potentially affected by all categories of hurricane: 455,255
Total structural value: $168,070,185,834
Average value: $369,178
Even if the hurricane is only a Category 1 storm, it could still cause total property damage of $48 billion and affect more than 119,000 residential properties in the metro area. Based on the analysis, residential areas that could be most affected by a storm surge include Beach Haven, West Islip, Massapequa, Riverhead, and a portion of Brooklyn.