Chances are high that 2012 will be another active hurricane season in the Atlantic if an El Niño does not develop, say forecasters at Colorado State University (CSU).

When releasing its early season forecast, Philip Klotzbach and William Gray noted that the CSU forecast team they comprise decided to dispense with the usual numerical forecast for the number of storms. Instead, Klotzbach and Gray issued the forecast in terms of the probabilities “of the key factors influencing the hurricane season.”

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