Catastrophe modelers, through their near-term models, haveovershot actual insured losses for 2006 through 2010 by as much as$53 billion.

Karen Clark & Company has issued its third annual report onthe performance of three near-term catastrophe models, which have“significantly overestimated” losses during the five-yearperiod.

The near-term hurricane models were intended to be reflective ofloss expectations for the five-year period, 2006-2010.

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