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In a reversal of what most scientists have been warning, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) recently completed a study that said a warming global ocean could positively influence the winds that shear off the tops of developing hurricanes. This effect creates the possibility for fewer Atlantic hurricanes to strike the U.S., which means homeowners’ insurers could soon experience fewer hurricane claims than expected.

“We looked at U.S. land-falling hurricanes because it is the most reliable Atlantic hurricane measurement over the long term,” said Chunzai Wang, physical oceanographer and climate scientist with the NOAA, in a release.

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