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Falling interest rates and stalled premium growth mean the best returns on equity the property-casualty insurance industry can hope for in coming years will be in the high-single-digits, according to the president of the Insurance Information Institute, Robert P. Hartwig.

“Interest rates are lower than they were a decade ago. They’re falling, and they’re going to fall again,” Mr. Hartwig said, noting that volatile stock market returns add to a bleak investment picture that has so far kept insurers focused on maintaining good underwriting results.

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