Colorado State University researchers have released the 2007Atlantic hurricane forecast for September and October. Phillip J.Klotzbach and William M. Gray with assistance from William Thorsonhave concluded that the September-only forecast predicts five namedstorms, two major hurricanes, and a net tropical cyclone activity(NTC) of 80, which is above average.

The research team has predicted five named storms, twohurricanes, one major hurricane, and NTC activity of 42, which isalso above average. The team reports that climatologically,September is the most active month of the hurricane season, butthey have kept the September monthly forecast the same as waspredicted in early August.

According to the Colorado State University Tropical MeteorologyProject, forecasts are based on a statistical methodology derivedfrom 55 years of past global reanalysis data and a separate studyof prior analog years which have had similar global atmospheric andoceanic precursor circulation features.

The forecasts are available athttp://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/.

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