Less than two weeks after the official end of the below-average 2006 hurricane season, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), a London-based consortium of experts on insurance, risk management, and seasonal climate forecasting group, is predicting that 2007 will mark a return to high-hurricane activity. The organization’s long-range forecast anticipates Atlantic basin and U.S. land-falling hurricane activity next season will be 60 percent above the 1950-2006 norm.

According to TSR, it is 76 percent likely that U.S. land-falling hurricane activity in 2007 will be in the top one-third of years, historically. TSR’s long-range hurricane prediction includes:

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