The hurricane forecast team at Colorado State continues to downgrade its 2006 forecast for the Atlantic basin based on changing climate signals and below-average activity in the first third of the season.

The updated report now predicts 13 named storms to form in the Atlantic basin this season. Of those, five are predicted to become hurricanes and two are anticipated to evolve into intense hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. The new forecast is down from the team's August forecast of 15 named storms, seven hurricanes and three intense hurricanes.

"We predict September and October will exhibit characteristics of a more average year based on the activity so far this season and climate signals through August," Klotzbach said. "Current conditions in the Atlantic indicate that we will now see a slightly below-average hurricane season with far less activity than was experienced in each of the last two years."

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