Claims News Service, April 7, 9:53 a.m. EST — The Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) forecasting consortium recently released 2006 seasonal forecasts for Atlantic hurricane and Northwest Pacific typhoon activity.

TSR predicts another active Atlantic hurricane season. According to current and projected climatic conditions, the Atlantic basin and U.S. landfalling tropical cyclone activity are forecast to be about 50 percent above the 1950-2005 norm in 2006. It is likely that U.S. landfalling hurricane activity will be in the above-average category. TSR's two predictors are the forecast of July through September trade-wind speed over the Caribbean and tropical North Atlantic, and the August through September sea surface temperature in the tropical North Atlantic.

For an extended range forecast for the Northwest Pacific, TSR predicts another close to average 2006 typhoon season overall with 27 tropical storms — 17 of those being typhoons, eight being intense typhoons. TSR's findings show it will be a more than likely near-normal season, which lasts from Jan. 1 to Dec. 31.

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