By Dr. Steve Smith, VP of ReAdvisory

Wilma formed west of Jamaica over the weekend. Wilma is the 21stnamed storm of the season, which means 2005 is level with 1933 asthe most active season on record. Any storms that form subsequentto Wilma (a reasonable expectation) will be named from the Greekalphabet.

So far, Wilma's movement has been slowly westward as thesteering currents are light over the Caribbean Sea. Wilma'sforecasted track has been erratic over the last few forecast cyclesas the models struggle to come to grips with the atmosphericconditions. The models continue to remain inconsistent with the NHChaving an unusually low confidence in the models three-to-five daysout. However, over the next few days, we expect a slow westwarddrift, which may lead Wilma to a landfall along Mexico's YucatanPeninsula. Beyond three-to-five days, the forecasts become morespeculative:

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