Sector's cash flow suggests hard market in 2008; finite reprobes hasten cycles
The power to predict property-casualty pricing cycles accuratelyhas long eluded the best minds in the industry–but analysts atCochran Caronia & Company have developed a technique that mightbe quite useful for anyone trying to guess where prices areheaded.
We believe cash flow is a reliable tool to predict pricingcycles, and based on current industry conditions, we're predictinga significant drop in industry cash flow in 2006, and the bottomingout of the pricing cycle by 2007.
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