Moody's reports its rated commercial lines insurers areindicating a reduced appetite for risk.

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According to a survey by the rating agency, insurers “continueto indicate a moderate decline in risk appetite for 2013 for thecommercial liability lines despite improving combinedratios.”

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Moody's concludes rate increases will continue in 2014 but thesize of the increases are expected to “slowly taper off” givenplentiful capacity in the marketplace, and as companies improvereturns on capital.

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Rates in commercial property, for instance—after three years ofrate increases—are slowing.

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The lack of risk appetite in workers compensation isn't asmarked as the early part of the decade, says Moody's, but there isa moderate decline.

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Profit in the four major commercial liability lines—workers'compensation, general liability, professional liability and auto—isexpected to significantly improve in accident-year 2013 and 2014 ifrate and loss trends continue and exposure growth becomevisible.

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Commercial liability lines insurers see rate increases of about7.5 percent in 2013—up from an increase of 6.5 percent in 2012 and2.5 percent in 2011.

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The rating agency can see a combined ratio of 101 in AY 2013 anda profitable 96.5 in AY 2013 after combined ratios of 105.5 and108.5 in AY 2012 and 2011, respectively.

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