The 2013 Atlantic hurricane forecast from the renowned duo ofmeteorologists at Colorado State University remains unchanged—18named storms, nine hurricane and four major hurricanes.
|Philip Klotzbach and William Gray of CSU, now in its 30th yearof issuing seasonal forecasts for the Atlantic basin, continue to estimate a 72-percent chance at least one of these stormswill strengthen to a major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) andmake landfall somewhere on the U.S. coast from Texas to Maine.
|There is a 96-percent chance a hurricane of any strength willmake landfall—with the usual suspects at the head of the list oflandfall.
|Klotzbach and Gray tag Florida with a 71 percent chance ofhurricane landfall this season, followed by Texas at 50 percent,Louisiana at 47 percent, and North Carolina at 44 percent.
|Wondering about another strike to the Northeast? The team saysthere is a 2 percent and 13 percent probability of a hurricanelandfall at New Jersey and New York, respectively.
|Additionally, Aon Benfield's Tropical Storm Risk calls for 16named storms, eight hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. This is alsolargely unchanged from a previous forecast in April.
|TRS says trade winds in the Caribbean Sea and North Atlantic arefavorable for hurricanes, especially during July-September.
|Warmer-than-normal seas surface temperatures—also favorable forhurricane formation—are expected to continue during the peak monthsof the season.
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