Catastrophe modeler AIR Worldwide says onshore insured lossesfrom Hurricane Isaac could reach $2 billion.
|The storm is now well-inland and has been downgraded to atropical depression with winds of 35 mph as its rain begins to sopArkansas and Missouri before the storm turns east.
|AIR says the estimate of between $700 million and $2 billionincludes insured losses from damage to residential, auto,commercial and industrial properties and contents, as well asadditional living expenses and business interruption-relatedlosses. It also takes into account demand surge.
|Competitor Eqecat previously released an insured-loss estimateof between $500 million and $1.5 billion onshore. It adds estimatedeconomic losses of between $500 million to $1 billion for offshoreenergy assets. AIR says it does not expect significant phyicaldamage to offshore oil rigs and platforms.
|Much of the damages caused by Isaac is due to flooding—a perilnot covered by a standard homeowners' insurance policy whetherflooding is caused by rain or storm surge.
|Up to 25 inches of rain fell in some spots in Louisiana, whereIsaac made landfall twice as a Category 1 hurricane and themodelers agree Isaac's storm surge levels, which eclipsed somefloodwalls, were high for a storm of Category 1 strength.
|The AIR estimate assumes a 10 percent take-up rate forcommercial flood policies.
|Additionally, “Isaac's slow forward speed and refusal todissipate will exacerbate wind damage,” says Tim Doggett, principalscientist at AIR.
|Due to all the rain saturating the ground, trees can fall atlower wind speeds, he says. Roofs can become “fatigued andoverloaded, causing additional damage,” as the wind persists, headds.
|Reported wind damage includes downed power lines and trees aswell as some structures and items such as awnings, signage andtrailers, AIR says.
|More than half a million customers are still without power,according to reports from the local electric provider, Entergy.
|Tornadoes spawned by the storm system remain a threat. Eqecatsays nine tornadoes were reported in southern Mississippi andAlabama on August 29 and more were reported on Aug. 30.
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