From the September 2011 issue of Claims Magazine • Subscribe!

Mitchell 3Q Report: Volatile Gas Pricing Impacts Total Losses, Resale Values

Insurers are already acutely aware of the linkage between gas prices and the number of vehicle miles traveled. What may be less apparent, however, are the myriad ways in which persistently high fuel prices affect consumer decisions and behavior that directly impact both the severity and frequency of auto insurance claims.

Mitchell International, Inc. explores the relation of volatile fuel pricing to claims in the third quarter 2011 edition of its Industry Trends Report (ITR), which offers a quarterly snapshot of the auto physical damage collision and casualty industries. Supporting his assertions with statistics from various sources, Greg Horn, ITR editor-in-chief and Mitchell’s vice president of industry relations, delves into the company’s total loss valuation data warehouse to explain how the year’s rapid changes in gas pricing are impacting resale values for cars of various fuel efficiencies in different ways.

“To determine the relationship between fuel price spikes and values, we examined the Toyota Corolla, Prius and the Ford Expedition as representatives of the fuel-efficient, hybrid and gas guzzler vehicle categories,” said Horn in the quarterly feature, “Timing is Everything: Total Loss Values and Gas Prices.”

“Our claims data fell in line with other reports and market sources and did show that fuel-efficient vehicles tend to rise more quickly and reliably in value during periods of high prices than gas guzzlers, which fall in value,” he added. “Significantly, our analysis showed a market reaction time during fuel price volatility of approximately three weeks—a delay between the rise in fuel prices and the rise in value of the most fuel efficient vehicle in our study—the hybrid.

Gas guzzlers, which are traditionally more volatile during fuel price fluctuations, showed a similar lag pattern,” Horn continued. “The insurance and collision repair industries need the accuracy of a true market survey method for valuing a total loss because constantly fluctuating fuel prices move too fast, with too great an impact, for slower traditional ‘book value’ valuations to accurately reflect the true actual cash value of total loss vehicles.”

Among other notable findings in Mitchell’s current ITR are:

"Mitchell’s 2Q-2011 data reflect an initial average gross collision appraisal value of $2,761, about $90 less than this same period last year. However, applying the indicated development factor of 9 percent suggests a final 2Q-2011 average gross collision appraisal value of $3,008. The average actual cash value (ACV) of vehicles appraised for collision losses during 22-2011 was $13,705, representing an increase of $500 over the same period last year.

"In 2Q-2011, the average gross appraisal value for comprehensive coverage estimates processed through Mitchell servers was $2,854 when compared to $2,625 in 2Q-2010. Applying the prescribed development factor of 1 percent for this data set produces an increase in the adjusted value to $2,883, reflecting the strong storm season with many hail claims."

Horn added that anticipated dip in gas prices would result in more miles driven and thus a possible uptick in the number of auto claims.

Comments

Resource Center

View All »

Contractors General Liability Coverage 102

What is a prior work exclusion? Which option is right for my client? Why do...

Sign up today to get a 50% matching credit -...

Insurance marketing sometimes seems like it's a game of swings and misses, but we're here...

Guide: 5 Steps to Selling Cyber

Cyber risk and data security is on the agenda of every business owner and executive....

Citation Correlation

Do rigger and signalperson qualifications correlate with the cause of crane and rigging accidents? ...

Complete Guide to Electronic Signatures in Property & Casualty Insurance...

In property and casualty insurance, closing new business quickly is key. Learn how to leverage...

INSTANT ACCESS: Complimentary Sales Closer Questionnaires

Help property owners or managers compare your commercial residential property insurance coverage vs. the competition....

Determining Vacant Property Perils and Valuations

Are your clients fully covered for Vacant Properties? In this economic climate, your insureds may...

Risk Management for Law Firms

This package of 3 concise risk management articles offers straightforward content and practical suggestions law...

Guide: Top 15 E&O Risks-And How To Avoid Them

Accidents happen. But when it's an errors and omissions oversight, that accident can open your...

We'll Show You How to Reach Your Sales Goals

Whether you work alone or have a team of agents working for you, we can...

Claims Connection eNewsletter

Breaking news on disasters, fraud, legal trends, technology, and CE initiatives for the P&C claim professional – FREE. Sign Up Now!

Claims-Handling Guidelines

Claims Magazine is providing the following free guidelines and regulations in order to help adjusting professionals stay abreast of each state’s unique property and casualty claim-handling requirements.

View our State Guidelines »

Advertisement. Closing in 15 seconds.