UK-based insurance market, Lloyd's of London, thinks it knows which national team is going to win the World Cup soccer tournament, and it is basing its guess on each team's insured value. According to the firm's calculations, Germany is the most-valuable team in the tournament and, as a result, should come away the victor in Rio on July 13.

Germany?

Lloyd's does know that Germany has to get past the soccer powerhouse that is the United States in group play before it can even think about the overall title, right?

Still, for what it's worth, Germany is probably a pretty safe bet for the insurer, as the country has long been one of the most successful national teams at the tournament, winning the Cup three times in its history and reaching the final round on four other occasions. The team is second only to Italy in number of World Cup tournament appearances with 17 out of the total 19.

Check out the firm's approach to this conclusion in the charts below. First up, Lloyd's broke down each of the eight groups by the insurable value of each team:

 

Then it broke out the numbers by team, placing Germany in the clear lead ahead of other perennial favorites Spain and England:

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