When the countdown ends on 2009, it also brings an end to the first decade of the new millennium. It's hard to believe how much our world has changed in those 10 short years, from global terrorism (still happening) to the financial meltdown to the ascendancy of the Internet. Let's look at just a few:
Everything tech. Yes, the Internet was around at the turn of the century, but it wasn't as ubiquitous as it is now. Since then, a whole generation has grown up with this technology, and that generation is our future employees and customers. While all this has made our lives a lot easier, it's also phased out a lot of what we were confortable with and raised the bar on customer expectations. A mixed blessing, to say the least.
A world of new risks. The world is smaller, and the risks you underwrite are not like anything that's been insured before. Acts of terrorism, environmental exposures, professional liability related to new technology standards and expectations — they're all in the mix, with new risks coming at us every day. The challenge for our industry will be to keep one step ahead of anything new that comes along.
A bigger, smaller agency universe. The agency/brokerage M&A boom may have slowed to a trickle, but the activity of the past 10 years has altered the landscape forever. Big brokerages have gotten bigger by increasingly targeting the midmarket customers that have long been the bread and butter of the average agency. Conversely, the latest IIABA Agency Universe numbers suggest that smaller, startup agencies are on the rise, thanks in large part to the availability of sophisticated automation systems that allow them to compete with bigger players.
More eyes on the industry. Public/political scrutiny of the insurance industry is nothing new, but the seismic financial upheavals of the past 10 years — from the Enron fiasco in 2002 to last year's subprime mortgage meltdown and AIG bailout and current healthcare debate — have put this most risk-averse industry in the spotlight more than ever before.
And while nobody can predict what the next 10 years will bring, it's a safe bet that the trends we saw begin at the dawn of the century will continue to play a significant role going forward. And while 2009 was a good year in that we dodged a lot of bullets — from natural disasters to truly bad legislation — it's inevitable that we'll stand to take a hit from these and other problems in the future.
What were your biggest concerns in 2009, and what do you predict will dominate the headlines in 2010?
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