Filed Under:Claims, Catastrophe & Restoration

One early forecast calls for below-average hurricane season

This satellite image taken Oct. 1, 2015, and released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, shows Hurricane Joaquin. (Photo: NOAA via AP Photo)
This satellite image taken Oct. 1, 2015, and released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, shows Hurricane Joaquin. (Photo: NOAA via AP Photo)

Phil Klotzbach, a leading hurricane expert from Colorado State University, is predicting El Niño conditions may linger to help thwart the 2016 hurricane season.

His early prediction is based partly on the fact that frigid waters flowing out of the North Atlantic Ocean may limit activity as warm seas that feed energy to storms cool, according to the Palm Beach Post.

Klotzbach, shared his thoughts Monday at the week-long National Hurricane Conference in Orlando. The primary goal of the National Hurricane Conference is to improve hurricane preparedness, response, recovery and mitigation in order to save lives and property in the United States and the tropical islands of the Caribbean and Pacific.

Official 2016 hurricane forecasts come in April

Klotzbach won't deliver his official hurricane forecast until April. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is also weeks away from releasing its official 2016 hurricane forecast, but meteorologists have been buzzing about whether the end of El Niño will leave the U.S. more vulnerable to storms.

The 2015-2016 El Niño, one of the strongest on record, is expected to weaken by the summer.

“2016 will be a good test since we won’t have El Niño,” said Klotzbach, who believes the Atlantic may have entered a climatic pattern of fewer hurricanes. “It would definitely increase confidence that we are moving out of an active time for storms.”

For the full story, see "Early hurricane forecast calls for below-average season."

Related

Get ready for what could be a busy hurricane season this year

The chances the Atlantic will spit out more hurricanes and tropical storms this year than 2015 just edged up.

NAPSLO 2016

 

Featured Video

Most Recent Videos

Video Library ››

Top Story

N.J. commuter train crashes into Hoboken station causing death, destruction

A commuter train crashed into one of the busiest train stations in the New York City area during the morning rush on Thursday, killing at least one person and sending at least 74 to area hospitals.

Top Story

A look at fall's most common road hazards, region by region

Based on comprehensive claims data from Farmers, here's what's most likely to cause an auto accident in your area right now.

More Resources

Comments

eNewsletter Sign Up

Claims Connection eNewsletter

Breaking news on disasters, fraud, legal trends, technology, and CE initiatives for the P&C claim professional – FREE. Sign Up Now!

Mobile Phone

Advertisement. Closing in 15 seconds.