Filed Under:Markets, Personal Lines

Forecasters: 75% Chance Of Major Hurricane Hitting U.S. Coast; Colin Fizzles

NU Online News Service, Aug. 04, 2:27 p.m. EDT

Get ready for the possibility of nine more hurricanes in the Atlantic before Nov. 30.

The team of hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University said conditions for storms are ripe and they are sticking by an early Atlantic hurricane forecast of 18 named storms, 10 hurricanes and five major hurricanes for the season.

The forecasters said there is a 75 percent chance post July 31 that at least one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coastline--about a 50 percent chance each for landfall on the East Coast, including Florida, and the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas.

A major hurricane is defined as a Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with sustained winds of 111mph or more.

There have been three named storms this season, most recently Colin, which has since fizzled. The National Hurricane Center gives the storm about a 20 percent chance of re-forming into a tropical storm in the next 48 hours.

The 2010 hurricane season began with Hurricane Alex in late June near the Yucat?n Peninsula.

The Colorado State forecasting duo--Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray--have noticed warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic. "These very warm waters are associated with dynamic and thermodynamic factors that are very conducive for an active Atlantic season," said Mr. Klotzbach.

In June the forecasters called for the same amount of storms this season.

Long-term (1950-2000) averages for an Atlantic hurricane season are 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 major hurricanes per year.

Featured Video

Most Recent Videos

Video Library ››

Top Story

Weekend of deadly storms and tornadoes slam the South [photos]

There were more than 200 reports of severe weather and more than two dozen reports of tornadoes this weekend as of early Sunday morning in an ongoing multi-day tornado and severe weather outbreak.

Top Story

Here are the top 10 states people are moving from

Knowing the states that people are moving out of can help insurance agents and brokers plan for the potential loss of clients who relocate to another state.

More Resources

Comments

eNewsletter Sign Up

PropertyCasualty360 Daily eNews

Get P&C insurance news to stay ahead of the competition in one concise format - FREE. Sign Up Now!

Mobile Phone

Advertisement. Closing in 15 seconds.